da'monte williams three point percentage

Posted by on Apr 26, 2021 in Uncategorized | No Comments

Da’Monte Williams literally went an entire calendar month last season without scoring a point, now he’s the leading three-point shooter in the nation. Myles Johnson also had a double-double, and Rutgers used its defense to pull away. But if math isn’t your thing, skip it. His previous career high for threes made in a season was 13, and in his first three seasons, he never made even a third of his three-point attempts. Da’Monte Williams and Trent Frazier (38.5% -3) can’t be ignored as Williams leads the nation in three-point shooting percentage at 59 percent. The other two-thirds are what we’re interested in. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. He has turned into a knockdown shooter, and Illinois is a far better team because of it. This adds up to 2.207 points per possession on Williams’ three-point attempts. And he’s doing all of that while carrying a greater load on offense. That would be the greatest three-point shooting season of all time. 3 Gonzaga (Nov. 19), 10 points and five rebounds vs. Mississippi Valley State (Nov. 25), Career-high five assists with six points, seven rebounds and three steals at Notre Dame (Nov. 27), Seven points and team-high six rebounds vs. Ohio State (Dec. 5), Seven points with 2-2 from three and three rebounds at Indiana (Jan. 3), 10 points behind career-high 8-10 FT with four boards and two blocks at Northwestern (Jan. 6), Four points and team-high six rebounds at Wisconsin (Feb. 18), Six points and three rebounds in win over Northwestern (March 3), Six rebounds and two assists vs. Indiana (March 7), Played in 31 of 32 games on the season with three starts, averaging 3.5 points and 2.9 rebounds, Eight points and five rebounds vs. DePaul (Nov. 17), Six points and four boards vs. Maryland (Dec. 1), Made first career start vs. Austin Peay (Dec. 6), totaling five points, four boards and three steals, Eight points and six rebounds vs. Longwood (Dec. 13), Made 3-pointer with 17 seconds left vs. Grand Canyon (Dec. 30) that put the Illini ahead by four, Six points, season-high eight rebounds and career-best four steals at Minnesota (Jan. 3), Season-high four assists vs. No. Here’s our equation: (16/23) * (3 points) + (7/23) * (35.6%) * (1.109 points) = 2.207 points per possession. Adjusted for opponent strength, Illinois has outscored its opponents by an average of 25.25 points per 100 possessions this season, compared with 17.1 points per 100 possessions in 2019-20. In total, on the 4.825% of possessions where 2020-21 Williams would have taken a three, Illinois scored 1.097 points per possession. Senior Da’Monte Williams was a beneficiary of Curbelo’s passing — connecting on 3-5 shots from three-point range, slightly below his nation-leading 69-percent average entering the game. He will take more threes, and he will make more of them, but he will not play any more minutes, and everything else about both him and the rest of the team will remain unchanged. RebC (Rebound Chances) – Number of times a player is within 3.5 feet of the ball at the time of the rebound Reb% (Rebound Percentage) – Percentage of rebound chances converted C&S (Catch and Shoot) – Number of shots a player takes when they possess the … UCSB, however, does a great job limiting its opponents from scoring beyond the arc, ranking 14 th nationally by that metric. Jump to the last bolded equation, and I’ll start to speak English again after that. So I should probably stop saying “35.6%,” and really say something like “over a third.”. But that’s a combination of all of Ayo’s skills, not just his shooting. Just the threat of Da’Monte shooting the ball helps the offense, even if he doesn’t take many shots. To learn more or opt-out, read our Cookie Policy. That’s the difference between a team that’s a 7-seed or an 8-seed and a team that’s a 3-seed or a 4-seed in the NCAA Tournament. 9 Ohio State (3/14), Team-high 9 rebounds in Big Ten Tournament win over No. This opens up driving lanes for the rest of the guards, and makes the offense more efficient. Williams was 3-5 shooting from three. Entering Saturday’s game against Purdue, he has … G. 42.9%. The number could also be lower though, because the rest of the team improving means that Williams’ shots might be more open. If we keep everything else the same about 2019-20 but plug in the shooting of 2020-21 Da’Monte Williams, the possessions where he shoots improve by a massive 1.110 points per possession. Buckle up, folks. The first thing we need to do is to calculate the points per possession on possessions that Da’Monte takes a three. So Da’Monte took a three on 3.660% of Illinois’ possessions while he was on the floor. Illinois has had 739 offensive possessions this season, and Da’Monte has been on the floor for 64.5% of them. Seriously. Despite leading the nation in 3-point percentage, at 61.1%,Williams went just 1-of-7 from the field and 1-of-4 from 3 in the Illini’s last two games, both losses. 2 Baylor (12/2), First career double-double vs. Ohio (11/27) with 11 points and career-high 10 boards, Played in all 31 games on the season, started 22 of the last 23, Set season-high in scoring in conference play with nine points on 3-4 FG in win over No. We’re almost done, but we still need to see how big this improvement is compared to the team’s improvement in other areas. I’m including it because I want people to be able to check my work, and I also want to help Illini fans get a better understanding of analytics. I just underestimated how much the team has improved overall. Williams has knocked down an impressive 22-of-36 (61.1%) from deep after entering this year a career 27% three-point shooter on relatively low volume. The regression monster is always lurking, and sooner or later it will bite. If you feel so inclined, I encourage you to check my work. Da’Monte hasn’t been helped by a better offensive environment. We use cookies and other tracking technologies to improve your browsing experience on our site, show personalized content and targeted ads, analyze site traffic, and understand where our audiences come from. Ayo Dosunmu, Trent Frazier, and Andre Curbelo are probably better at creating open looks for their teammates than Dosunmu, Frazier, and Andres Feliz were last season. Da’Monte Williams attempted 0.709 of his shots from three point range. Ayo has gotten better at everything, and the offense runs through him. We’re about to do some #math. Da'Monte Williams has really stepped up with 10 points (3-for-3). That makes for an improvement of 8.15 points per 100 possessions. Three Points Free Throws Rebounds Miscellaneous; Season Team Type G Min FGM FGA … It makes very little sense to give him space on the perimeter, opponents should be getting in his face. The Scarlet Knights have three players scoring in doubles figures, led by Ron Harper Jr., who averages 15.2 and had 13 points and 11 rebounds against Indiana. Williams was a career 23-percent three-point shooter heading into that February night and he hadn’t scored in six weeks. It makes very little sense to give him space on the perimeter, opponents should be getting in his face. It’s time to give him the recognition he deserves. But if we add 2.9 net points per 100 possessions, Illinois jumps all the way up to 12th in the country. The one issue is that Bart Torvik’s ratings include his preseason ratings for about 15 games of the season. * Home Games qualifier is on pace for at least 10 made three point field goals. 35.6% of his 7 misses will be rebounded by the Illini, and they will score 1.109 points per possession on those offensive rebounds. The problem is that there are more possessions of the former, so we need to add a few possessions where Williams did not take a three to the 3.660% where he did. (1.110 points per possession) * (4.825%) * (53.3%) = 0.029 points per possession. Illinois has played 10 games so far, so the preseason ratings account for about a third of the total. Williams entered his senior season as a career 27.8% shooter behind the arc. For 3.660% of possessions while he was on the floor, Da’Monte Williams shot a three, and Illinois scored 1.094 points on these possessions on average. He has gone entire games without taking a three, and his shooting is still responsible for such a large share of the team’s overall improvement. This would be extraordinary for any player, but the craziest part is that Williams was never even an average shooter in the past. The Illini have made 39.7 percent of their threes this season, which ranks ninth nationally. Da’Monte Williams is fourth nationally in 3-point shooting (min. By my math, 35.6% of Illinois’ improvement this season can be attributed just to Da’Monte Williams’ improved three-point shot. 5 Iowa (3/13), 9 points and 5 boards in Big Ten Tournament win over Rutgers (3/12), 7 points, including game-tying 3-pointer with 1:31 left, in win at No. I think to really put this in perspective, it’s better to look at the effect Williams’ improved shot has had on the team by itself, rather than as a percentage of the team’s improvement. By choosing I Accept, you consent to our use of cookies and other tracking technologies. Ayo turning himself into an All-American probably accounts for at least a third of the team’s total improvement, for instance. More precisely, we need to find the percentage of possessions that Williams takes a three when he is on the floor. Here’s how we’ll do that: ((3.660%) * (1.094 points per possession) + (4.825% - 3.660%) * (1.109 points per possession)) / (4.825%) = 1.097 points per possession. Da’Monte will shoot (and make) threes as often per 100 team possessions (while he is on the floor) as he has in the 2020-21 season. Da’Monte Williams attempted 0.643 of his shots from three point range. Next, the percentage of the time that Da’Monte took a three: (41 attempts) / ((2102 possessions) * (53.3%)) = 3.660% of possessions. He is a sharpshooter from long range and his ability to shoot three point shots must be respected. On offense, too. The Citadel (Nov. 20), Played in all 32 games with 18 starts, averaging 3.4 points, Team’s fourth-leading rebounder at 3.5 rpg, Eight points on 4-5 FG with three rebounds and three assists in opener vs. Evansville (Nov. 8), Season-high 11 points and career-high tying four steals vs. Georgetown (Nov. 13), Season-high nine rebounds vs. No. Ayo is a better shooter, passer, rebounder, and defender than he was last season, and he’s getting to the free-throw line more often. Now, we can find the difference between the adjusted net efficiency of the 2019-20 team with that of the 2020-21 team. Da'Monte Williams (31.7 percent to 12.5 percent) and Kipper Nichols (21.9 percent to 10 percent) have experienced the biggest drop in three-point accuracy. As it was last season, Illinois was already a very good team, ranking 29th in the country according to Bart Torvik. Anyway, here’s the difference: (25.25 net points per 100 possessions) - (17.1 net points per 100 possessions) = 8.15 net points per 100 possessions. It doesn’t look like Da’Monte Williams’ improved shot actually accounts for half of Illinois’ improvement, just a little over a third. But for a team that improved by as much as Illinois has, one player’s improvement of one skill accounting for over a third of the team’s improvement is crazy! 9 Penn State (Feb. 18), Six points on a pair of treys vs. Michigan State (Feb. 11), Six points on 2-2 from three and four rebounds vs. Maryland (Feb. 7), Seven rebounds and two blocks in win over Minnesota (Jan. 30). Account for about a third of the 2020-21 team 2019-20 season at halftime of Saturday! Monte has taken 23 threes his preseason ratings for about a third of the calculations I are... 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